September is almost here and where are the hurricanes? Jennifer Emerson of Austin wonders if this has ever happened before and does it mean we will still have an above average hurricane season?
It has been a fast start to the tropical season. We have already seen six named storms but not one has turned into a hurricane. Normally we should of have had two by now.
The U.S. coastline also has been fortunate because five of the six have not impacted the U.S. only Andrea has and it happened way back in early June.
The updated august hurricane outlook from NOAA still suggests a very active hurricane season with 13 to 19 named storms but have dropped the hurricane number between six and nine.
We still have plenty of time to reach these projections because 80 percent of tropical systems form from august to October and the peak time still a couple of weeks away.
Not having a hurricane before Labor Day is very unusual. Since 1960, only five first season hurricanes have occurred after August.
Hurricane Gustav in 2002 has the record date for the latest-arriving first hurricane in the modern era.
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