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Weather Facts: Fall outlook

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Summer of 2012 is about to wrap up this weekend. The weather outlook for Fall depends on the comeback for El Nino.

After the worst drought in decades, the rain this year has been a beautiful sight. We've received 20 more inches of rain than last year at this point.

This could be a sign of good things to come. El Nino is making a comeback. This is the warming of the eastern pacific and is changing the overall weather pattern to favor more rain events.

It started showing up in the spring and it's getting stronger.

All the computer weather models are indicating El Nino lasting through the winter and into next spring. This is good news when it comes to getting out of the drought.

La Nina, which is the cooling of eastern pacific forces the storm track well to north leaving Texas with less rain and in a drought.

Now during El Nino, the storm track dips to the south and takes aim on Texas opening the door for more frequent rain events.

Looking ahead, this Fall according to the Climate Prediction Center will showcase near average rainfall so half of the state will remain in drought mode with improvements in some areas.

Temperatures will be above average for a big chunk of the country including Texas.

However, this winter could be cooler not because we are expecting stronger cold fronts but we could have more cloudy and rainy days since El Nino is kicking into high gear.

It could end up being wetter than average from December until next may. Thanks El Nino.

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