Regan Shedd is wondering if Central Texas should expect another warm and dry summer.
It all depends on what happens with La Nina.
The overdue soaking rain has been a welcome sight across the state this winter. The last four months have been at or above average in the rainfall department with a grand total over 15 inches.
For the 1st time since last April not one inch of Central Texas is under an exceptional drought.
We still have a ways to go but we are seeing positive signs across the eastern pacific. La Nina, which is the cooling of Pacific waters, is slowly weakening. In the last few months, the eastern Pacific has been warming. This may explain the rainy pattern comeback. This warming trend of the ocean may continue.
All computer wx models show conditions will slowly slide back into a neutral phase. If this holds true we will experience normal amounts of rains not only through the spring but also this summer.
The average rainfall from now to late august is around 18 inches of rain.
So expect the drought to continue but we'll see slow improvements.
The long range outlook shows the warmer than average weather rolling on through spring and summer. But we get some good spring rains it won't be as sizzling as last summer.
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